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PEAZIT Aha card

Multiply probabilities for independent events

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Independence means one trial's result does not change the other's chance. Multiply probabilities when both conditions must hold.

A fair coin and an independent fair six-sided die.
RelationMeaning
P(A ∩ B) = P(A) × P(B)Intersection means both events occur.
P(H) = 1/2; P(6) = 1/6Heads has probability 1/2; a six has probability 1/6.
P(H ∩ 6) = 1/12One of twelve equally likely pairs qualifies.

One worked example

  1. P(A ∩ B) = P(A) × P(B)Intersection means both events occur.
  2. P(H) = 1/2; P(6) = 1/6Heads has probability 1/2; a six has probability 1/6.
  3. P(H ∩ 6) = 1/12One of twelve equally likely pairs qualifies.

Watch out: Without independence this simple product is invalid. Drawing without replacement generally changes the next probability.

Goal, prerequisites and card origin

What you will learn: Find the probability that both independent events occur.

What you need first: Single-event probability and fraction multiplication.

An original PEAZIT working card. Independent expert review and effectiveness testing have not yet taken place. · v1

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Independence means one trial's result does not change the other's chance. Multiply probabilities when both conditions must hold.

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